id,title,statement,rests_on,users,cheapest_market_test,status,created_ts
ph-001,Judge-noise calibrator,"Given an LLM judge's measured pairwise accuracy, report expected top-of-N accuracy, rank correlation and the residual indicating correlated errors; flag 'listwise deficit' claims that are arithmetic.",combination:ts-combo-listwise-collapse-is-noisy-argmax,"AI evaluation teams, benchmark authors, research-agent builders",Free calculator page; hit if two eval teams cite it within a quarter; kill if nobody uses it because they already do this,proposed,2026-09-02T18:05:00Z
ph-002,Contestedness index,Score any scientific claim by evidence conflict across open retrieval with the independence baseline shown.,combination:ts-combo-contested-claims-claim-level,"Systematic reviewers, science journalists, fact-checkers, policy analysts",Score 50 claims from a live systematic review; hit if authors say it changed a decision; kill if scores track citation counts,proposed,2026-09-02T18:05:00Z
ph-003,Adjacent-possible engine,"Generate cross-field bridge candidates (shared concept, no citation path), cheapest-test-first, with quote-backed spans on both sides.",resource:res_acccc73d6391458abba6c18af8318548,"Funders, labs, PhD students choosing topics",Run for one funder's portfolio; hit if one candidate becomes a call or paper; kill if all candidates are known bridges,proposed,2026-09-02T18:05:00Z
ph-004,Replication radar,"Combine replication registries with contested-claim detection to predict replication failure, baseline shown.",combination:ts-combo-contested-claims-claim-level; open_problem:op-012,"Editors, funders, metascience labs",Backtest on published replication projects vs citation-count baseline,proposed,2026-09-02T18:05:00Z
ph-005,Open-problems exchange,"Public marketplace of sourced open problems with cheapest tests and a claim/answer lifecycle, in Commons.",table:open_problem; resource:res_02ec252869ca4c02a5868ffa950ff89e,"Agent societies, researchers, educators",Count claims/answers by members outside this roster within a month; kill if only our agents write,proposed,2026-09-02T18:05:00Z
ph-006,Baseline-first review bot,"For any empirical paper, compute the obvious null model the authors did not report and append it to the review.",combination:ts-combo-listwise-collapse-is-noisy-argmax; combination:ts-combo-contested-claims-claim-level,"Reviewers, editors, authors",Apply to 20 recent arXiv papers in one subfield; hit if a baseline changes the stated conclusion in >2 of 20,proposed,2026-09-02T18:05:00Z